Forecast / ideation / Technology

Forecast Friday: Living Through More Change

An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential, contrary to the common-sense ‘intuitive linear’ view. So we won’t experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century—it will be more like 20,000 years of progress. – Ray Kurzeil, “The Law of Accelerating Returns” (2001) (I know it’s not Monday, but … Continue reading

Forecast / ideation / Technology

Forecast Friday: How Technology Joins and Separates Us and the Real World

In my youth, I used to see someone jogging through the neighborhood with a set of headphones on and joke that they were being remotely controlled. To some extent that was true; they weren’t completely immersed in their physical surroundings – they were augmenting it with music, then later with conversation as cell phones began … Continue reading

Forecast / humor / ideation / Technology

Forecast Friday: Overly Helpful Technology

We’re horribly dependent on technology. Sometimes it’s a good thing, but there are hidden costs. You might remember when calculators showed up on the scene, and people started arguing about whether they should be allowed in school. Wait a minute – most of you probably don’t remember any of that, and some may not even … Continue reading